Outlook for February
02/02/2009 12:36
Will February be another wasted month for winter weather? It certainly isn’t starting off with much promise.
This week shows nothing interesting outside of maybe a few flurries tomorrow. And it looks like boring will describe the weather well into next week.
Beyond Valentine’s Day, long range models have shown some potential. There are whispers that the second half of February on in to March could be “interesting”. A slightly negative NAO coupled with a recent stratospheric warming event (SSW) could open the gates to the arctic again. All we need now is a moisture flow.
Unfortunately, moisture will be hard to come by. The Pacific has not been kind to us for some time now. And this horrible, multi-year drought in the Southeast is a direct result of conditions in the Pacific. Even worse, that evil “La Nina” is rearing her ugly head again and growing in strength. I’m becoming more concerned that this is going to be another bad year for the Desert Southeast.
So... My outlook for the last half of February. I think there will be one or two threats of winter weather. But those threats will be the same old story and heartbreak. The models will tease and then take away on into March. Rinse, Repeat.
I really believed that Atlanta would see at least one winter weather event this year. However, I’m having serious doubts now.
UPDATE: Check out this depressing item:
YUCK!!!
This week shows nothing interesting outside of maybe a few flurries tomorrow. And it looks like boring will describe the weather well into next week.
Beyond Valentine’s Day, long range models have shown some potential. There are whispers that the second half of February on in to March could be “interesting”. A slightly negative NAO coupled with a recent stratospheric warming event (SSW) could open the gates to the arctic again. All we need now is a moisture flow.
Unfortunately, moisture will be hard to come by. The Pacific has not been kind to us for some time now. And this horrible, multi-year drought in the Southeast is a direct result of conditions in the Pacific. Even worse, that evil “La Nina” is rearing her ugly head again and growing in strength. I’m becoming more concerned that this is going to be another bad year for the Desert Southeast.
So... My outlook for the last half of February. I think there will be one or two threats of winter weather. But those threats will be the same old story and heartbreak. The models will tease and then take away on into March. Rinse, Repeat.
I really believed that Atlanta would see at least one winter weather event this year. However, I’m having serious doubts now.
UPDATE: Check out this depressing item:
YUCK!!!