Nail Biting Begins
01/29/2009 11:29
The models continue to show a very borderline setup for an Atlanta SNOW Storm this Monday (into Monday night). Unfortunately, we are on the wrong side of that border at this time.
As of now, it looks like the surface low that forms in the Gulf of Mexico is tracking a little too far north. The low then curves to the north-east a little too soon. This puts Atlanta into the forecast that has made my skin crawl since I was a child: “A cold rain”.
But... There is still some hope. The system could track a little more to the south and then curve to the north-east a little later. Or the system could deepen and pull in more cold air. Neither of these scenarios look likely, but they aren’t completely out of the realm of possibility.
If I had to make an “unbiased” forecast right now, this would be it: Atlanta sees mostly rain with a brief change over to light SNOW. Areas north of I-20 and west of I-85 could see a dusting to half-inch, while the extreme north-western suburbs could see up to an inch.
As of now, it looks like the surface low that forms in the Gulf of Mexico is tracking a little too far north. The low then curves to the north-east a little too soon. This puts Atlanta into the forecast that has made my skin crawl since I was a child: “A cold rain”.
But... There is still some hope. The system could track a little more to the south and then curve to the north-east a little later. Or the system could deepen and pull in more cold air. Neither of these scenarios look likely, but they aren’t completely out of the realm of possibility.
If I had to make an “unbiased” forecast right now, this would be it: Atlanta sees mostly rain with a brief change over to light SNOW. Areas north of I-20 and west of I-85 could see a dusting to half-inch, while the extreme north-western suburbs could see up to an inch.