It looks like the current threat for wintery weather will be a complete disappointment. A classic south-eastern, miserable experience. It is cold and very dry. The precip will fall through this dry air and will initially freeze (evaporative cooling). It will eventually reach the ground and things become more saturated, teasing us with very light sleet. This sleet will quickly turn to light rain. The rain will end before the next shot of cold air comes in... and we will get another tease with a brief flake or two of SNOW... and it will be that annoying, look up and see a clearing sky with a stray flake or two...

Here is a graphical representation of this torture:



Don’t get too excited about the little SNOW chances shortly afterward. They are very light and will probably fall off future GFS runs anyhow.

I hate this winter so far... I HATE IT!!! And I’m quickly losing hope going forward...

Tags: forecast, gfs, disappointment, mix, snow, winterwx